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Conditional Probability Visual Lab

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Sobre esta simulación

KiwiBee’s rebuilt classroom probability lab uses a uniform sample space and two event intervals. Change P(A), P(B) and their feasible overlap, collect reproducible random trials, and switch between the full population and a population conditioned on A or B. Exact probabilities appear beside observed sample proportions. Changing a parameter starts a fresh experiment; conditioning on a zero-probability event is explicitly undefined. Inspired by Victor Powell’s MIT-licensed Explained Visually activity, with credits to Victor Powell and Lewis Lehe.

Qué pueden explorar los alumnos

  • Change the overlap and explain how the conditional denominator changes.
  • Add 100 trials and compare exact probabilities with sample proportions.
  • Set a conditioning event to zero and explain why its conditional proportion is undefined.

Objetivos de aprendizaje

  1. 1Explain conditional probability as a proportion within a restricted population.
  2. 2Distinguish P(B|A) from P(A|B).

Preguntas frecuentes de los docentes

Who created this activity and what is its source license?

Victor Powell; Explained Visually by Victor Powell and Lewis Lehe. Original source license: MIT. Source: https://github.com/vicapow/explained-visually. KiwiBee improves the classroom controls and experiments, retaining source credits and licenses.

What does this model simplify?

The falling balls are random samples from a simplified model. Short runs fluctuate, and a conditional probability is undefined when its conditioning event has probability zero.

How can I use the activity in class?

Use the activity controls inside the frame, or open fullscreen for a larger workspace. Ask students to predict a result, test it, and explain what changed. The embedded application starts in English; available upstream language controls are part of the original activity.

Insertar esta simulación

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<iframe src="https://kiwibee.io/es/simulations/conditional-probability-visual-simulation/embed" title="Conditional Probability Visual Lab | KiwiBee" loading="lazy" allowfullscreen style="width:100%;height:min(70vh,620px);min-height:420px;border:0;border-radius:16px"></iframe>

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